Prime Minister Brian Pallister of Manitoba plunged his province into the elections almost a year before he had to, and voting day will be held while federal election campaigns are also underway – meaning conservative resources may be limited in Prairie Province.
In the September 10 vote, Pallister, a progressive conservative, will have to raise money and mobilize hundreds of volunteers – resources that federal conservatives will need to use to regain most of their seats in the province in general elections, generally expected to be October 21.
Trudeau, who is scheduled to convene elections after Labor Day, said on Tuesday that he would stay on a fixed election day, and Pallister was free to make "different choices" and send his people to polls when a previously planned federal campaign was in motion.
The Federal Liberal Party has many seats in Manitoba – they won seven seats compared to five Tories and two NDP seats in voting in 2015 – and conservative leader Andrew Scheer must use his large number of votes in the West and pave enough seats together to end Trudeau's time as prime minister.
In an interview with CBC News, conservative Manitoba MP James Bezan admitted that conservative volunteers may find themselves too much this month because they divide time between provincial and federal campaigns.
Although federal elections have not yet been called, current MPs like Bezan have already started their campaigns seriously.
"My biggest concern in all this is volunteer fatigue, fatigue. How will they handle it? ”Bezan said. "They'll be tired of making these choices because we often use the same people."
Bezan said he had already noticed while knocking on the door that some voters were hardly following which conservative campaign – Team Pallister or Team Scheer – was asking for their support.
"It causes confusion among voters on some issues and who is really acting right now," he said.
"But I can tell you Westerners that they have the motivation to get rid of Trudeau federally," he said. "We will still knock on the door. We still organize fundraisers, even when our provincial cousins are in campaign mode. I am glad that it will end early, because then our campaigns will start officially. take their signs off and slide our federal conservative signs off. "
Andrew Brander, a Crestview Strategy consultant and former employee of provincial and federal conservative governments, said that it is far from ideal to run two campaigns at the same time and "significant challenges" are possible.
"This will increase pressure on already strained resources," he said, adding that both sides are using the same donor pool to fund campaigns.
But this is not just a problem for the Tories: provincial and federal NDPs are actually part of one entity and will face similar logistical challenges, he said.
Volunteering is falling
Brander also said that it is becoming increasingly difficult to ask party supporters to campaign for free.
"The idea of volunteering in campaigns is constantly falling, and most campaigns actually want to pay lobbyists. People just don't have time anymore, and when you have competing interests, it's even more difficult, "he said, adding campaigns to fight more and more online to remedy staff shortages.
Brander, who worked as Chief of Staff of the federal conservative Vice President Lisa Raitt before moving to the Ontario legislature to work with the Ford government, said many voters simply do not distinguish between federal and provincial wings of different political parties – and a provincial official does not always bode well a federal party with the same ideology.
"I am sure that if you talked to some federal conservatives in Ontario now, they would tell you that they have heard concerns about the provincial government," he said. "I can say that we heard complaints during the last federal election [former Liberal Ontario premier] Kathleen Wynne all the time. This happens naturally. "
Some conservative premieres have agreed to step down during the summer and first months of autumn – for example, Prime Minister Ontario Doug Ford delayed Queen's return until after federal vote – for example, so that Scheer and his team can take center stage. Pallister broke this trend.
"There are prime ministers who apparently have done everything to keep the federal campaign in the spotlight … take a seat behind," said Brander.
Bezan said double campaigns could be an advantage – an opportunity for Tory provincial and federal agents to work in tandem and hit more doors in a short amount of time, reminding voters of the benefits of a joint conservative program, including smaller government and lower taxes and their solutions for pressing issues such as healthcare and climate change.
"They [the provincial PCs] I thought that the decision to make a decision earlier was correct and I support it, 'said Bezan. – And now it's just a matter of finding both our paths to victory.