Justin Trudeau's liberals may face a rocky drive with Manitoba voters if the number from the new survey persists during the next federal election, now less than a year.
The survey showed that support for the federal liberals dropped by 11 points in the entire Manitoba, and also by 14 percent in funds outside Winnipeg, from the federal elections in 2015.
The study covered 1105 manitobes randomly from November 27 to December 6.
According to a survey, 42% of Manitobans are planning to vote for Tories, and 34% said they would vote for Liberals. Sixteen percent of voters said they would support the NDP, and support for the Greens and the People's Party of Canada was five and two percent respectively.
While the survey found that liberals continue to lead conservatives in Winnipeg, support for the ruling party dropped from 53 percent in 2015 to 43 percent. The survey shows that 33 percent of Winnipeggera plans to vote for the Tories.
This support within the perimeter highway was the strongest in the core, with 46 percent of respondents saying they would vote for liberals, 24 percent plan to vote for the NDP, and 18 percent say they intend to vote for a conservative.
Liberals also maintained a significant advantage over conservatives in the north-west and south-west of the city, but both parties were statistically bound in the south-east and north-east.
In addition to voters in Winnipeg, the vast majority of respondents said they would not vote for liberals.
The survey showed that only 19 percent of voters plan to vote for Liberals in rural departments, compared to 33 percent in 2015. And 58 percent of determined voters told the interviewers that this time they would support conservatives, with 48 percent in the last elections.
The survey also found that 48 percent of men in Manitoba plan to vote for conservatives, compared to 31 percent who said they would vote for a liberal.
On the other hand, women voters seem to be torn between two parties, with 37 percent promising liberal support and 36 percent planning to vote for a conservative.
The probe was in the field between November 27 and December 6 this year. A randomized sample of this magnitude would give a margin of error of +/- 2.9%, 19 times for 20. The margin of error is higher in each subgroup of the population.